I like value plays, almost as much as I like cash flow, but value usually leads to cash flow, so it all works out. And what better place to look for value than the NFL futures market, and the conference championships.
Today we are talking about the NFC, and the value that lies with 2 teams. Again this doesn't mean that I believe these 2 teams will win the NFC championship, but I believe they have a better chance than the odds makers are giving them. Everybody knows who the top 2 teams are in the NFC, Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers, but they are expensive to play in the futures market at +200, and you're better off betting them on the money line each week instead of making a future bet with them.
First up is the New Orleans Saints at +$1,000 meaning a bet of $100 will win you $1,000. Lets be serious about this, Drew Brees is amazing, and is a top 3 QB in the league. This offense will continue to put up big numbers each week. They play their home games in the Super Dome, which is an unfair advantage right there, and almost guarantees 8 wins. The defense was much improved last year, and should be even better in year 2 under Ryan as defensive coordinator. Also, they added the 2nd best safety in the game to the secondary this season, that will obviously help.
My second play might be a bit more shocking, but it's the Chicago Bears also at +$1,000. Like San Diego yesterday, this is year 2 of Treastman as the head coach, and teams always do better in year 2 of a new coach. This offense is also poised to score a lot of points with great skill position players, and a very strong offensive line. Cutler has never looked better, and Jeffries will be even better this year. Also like the Saints, this defense should improve over last year. The Bears defense took a step back last year, and I don't feel they ever found their identity. That won't happen again this year. Chicago has always been built around the defense, and the city won't accept what happened last year to happen again. Look for improvement on both sides of the ball.
But I am just one man, and this is my opinion.
Dusitn Dominiak
No comments:
Post a Comment