Arizona -4 at Oakland
This is my lock of the week pick.
Arizona is one of the strongest teams in the NFL this year, and that’s
been with a revolving door at QB. Palmer
is back for a second week in a row, and this isn’t a division opponent so don’t
look for the Raiders to be up for it.
The Cardinals defense is amazing this year.
Not only do 4 of my 5 systems agree that the value lies with the
Cardinals in this game, but it also has 3 key numbers, including on the 1
system that disagrees and puts value on the Raiders. I have the Cardinals as getting 3 points of
value in my game expectations systems, and that number has been 7-4 so far this
season. My vegas line system has the
Cardinals getting 2.5 points of value and that number so far this year is
4-3. Finally, the one that drove home
the selection for me, the outlier of the 5 systems, my 13/14 system has the
Raiders getting 1 point of value, but that number is only 1-5 in the 6 times it’s
come up, and the home team fails to cover by -7.5 points. Yes, you read that right, in the 6 times the
home underdog has had value of 1 point, they fail to cover by more than a
touchdown. Arizona wins BIG.
Thanks for stopping by, and remember to follow me on twitter
@Dustin_Dominiak
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