Last week was a nice bounce back week, finishing in the black for the day. There are a lot of good lines out there, so I won't waste any time.
Georgia -33.5 vs Vanderbilt
Yes, again against Vandy. Last week they barely moved the ball on offense and the only score they got was on an interception return. Kentucky looked like they were content to coast to the win as they didn't take any chances in the 2nd half. Georgia is coming off a disappointing game last week, and last time they disappointed they came out with a statement win against a lesser opponent. Vandy is also a lesser opponent and I expect Georgia to treat them the same way.
East Carolina -40.5 vs SMU
SMU is quite possibly the worst team in FBS, them and Eastern Michigan are definitely battling for that title. East Carolina offense has been running on all cylinders this year. SMU can't stop anybody. SMU is losing by an average of 47 points per game. They are hitting the road after back to back rough home games against Texas A&M and TCU. I don't expect ECU to be any gentler on them and the SMU average point loss gets larger after this game.
Virginia -5 vs Pittsburgh
Virginia is playing well above expectations this year, and they keep getting better each week. Pittsburgh on the other hand has been heading in the opposite direction, and last week were upset at home against Akron. Pittsburgh seems to have trouble stopping the ball, while Virginia's defense is one of it's strengths. Look for Virginia to handle Pittsburgh at home.
West Virginia -28 vs Kansas
Kansas is bad, really bad. They just fired Charlie Weis, and now have to travel to West Virginia. WVU's offense is flying on all cylinders, and the Jayhawks can't stop anybody. Look for WVU to take advantage of a sloppy Kansas program.
Mississippi State -3 vs Texas A&M
Texas A&M got lucky last week to squeak by with the win against Arkansas, and now have to travel to a dangerous Mississippi State. This will be TA&M hardest game of the season. Dak Prescott is in complete control of this offense, as he lead the dismantling of LSU in Death Valley last week. I don't expect a let down game here, and the crowd will make it difficult on TA&M.
Notre Dame+2.5 vs Stanford
Notre Dame plus points at home this season, thank you Vegas for an early christmas gift. Stanford's defense has been good this year, limiting opponents all year. But the offense has left something to be desired. Notre Dame is playing well on both sides of the ball. Look for them to pull the upset at home this week.
Auburn -7 vs LSU
Need to buy this down from -7.5, but it's money well spent. LSU has been susceptible to the run all season, and that works in Auburn's favor as they love to run the ball. The magnificent ATS streak Auburn was on came to an end at Kansas State, but they are starting a fresh one after a big win last week. Look for that streak to be 2 after this week.
USC -11.5 vs Arizona State
ASU is coming off a had and disappointing loss to UCLA at home last week. They expected to play better and be competitive in the whole game, but that wasn't the case. USC had it's eye opener when they traveled to Boston College and was upset. They won't overlook any opponents for the rest of the season. Look for them to take care of ASU and get some revenge for the loss last year on the road.
Ball State +2.5 vs Army
Ball State hasn't been that impressive this year, but they had guys out with injuries and are starting to get healthy. Army has not been good all year and last week lost to lowly Yale. Ball State offense will be to much for the black knights this week, and they pull the upset.
Kansas State -14 vs Texas Tech
You'll need to buy this down from the current line of -14.5, but again a little extra security is good. Texas Tech has trouble stopping other teams from moving the ball and putting up points. They haven't faced a defense as good as Kansas State yet this year. KSU is coming off a bounce back win after the disappointing loss at home to Auburn. Auburn was lucky to win that game, Texas Tech won't be so lucky.
Mississippi +6 vs Alabama
This is the game Ole Miss wanted and this is the one its got. College Game Day will be there, and all eyes will be on this 3:30 game. Look for the home team to feed off the crowd, and keep this game close all game. I'm not quite ready to say that Ole Miss will get the upset, but they will have the chance to.
Michigan State -6.5 vs Nebraska
Nebraska hasn't seen a defense like this, and will probably have some trouble running the ball as successfully as they have all year. Michigan State is playing like a team possessed, and will seek to make amends for the let down game in Oregon in week 2 with a statement win against a ranked opponent at home.
Nebraska @ Michigan State over 59 points
Both offenses have been playing good, and while this will be the best defense that Nebraska has faced this year I still expect them to score some points.
Air force +3.5 vs Navy
Air Force is getting points at home in a rivalry game, and they have the better offense. I'm either missing something or this is the 2nd early xmas gift from Vegas this week.
UCLA -13.5 vs Utah
Uh-oh someone woke the dragon. And in this case the dragon is the UCLA offense. I expect them to continue the success that they started last week on the road in a route of Arizona State.
Rutgers -1.5 vs Michigan
Big Ten surprise of the year, Rutgers is good and Michigan is bad. Michigan can't defend it's own turf. The student body and alumni are calling for the head coaches head and the AD's as well. It's not a good time to be a wolverine. They will be getting away from it all with a trip out east, but with Hoke coaching for his job, I think he comes up short because as the pressure has been at it's highest he is at his lowest. Hoke gets fired after this loss.
Nevada +4.5 vs Boise State
Boise State is struggling a little bit this year and isn't the BSU teams of old. Nevada has been exceeding expectations all year, and will want to have some revenge for all the time BSU beat them. Look for a late night cover, and possible SU upset.
That's a lot of games. You don't have to play them all, pick your favorites, there is enough to go around. Good luck this week, and remember to follow me on twitter @Dustin_Dominiak
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