Welcome back for another exciting week in college football. Last week our picks started out strong, but faltered in the late games, starting with the collapse of the Michigan State offense, and snowballing from there. It was a great week of football though, with so many exciting games. Here are this weeks NCAAF best bets.
Friday night lights!
Fresno State -9.5 @ UNLV
UNLV is not good. The defense is extremely porous. Fresno State is battle tested as they played 3 big 5 conference opponents to start the season. After those 3 games they have been on a tear. No reason for them to let off the gas in this game, Fresno State wins BIG!
UCLA +2.5 vs Oregon
Yes UCLA was a let down last week, but maybe they were looking ahead to this match up against Oregon knowing the ducks had a few extra days to prepare. Oregon is coming off an upset at home at the hands of Arizona. Don't expect a bounce back game from Oregon. The offensive line is not playing good, and now they need to go on the road and play against a solid front 7. No reason for UCLA to be the underdog here, take the points and watch the Bruins win.
Mississippi State +3 vs Auburn
Auburn has played well in big games this year, but the win over LSU last week is not a sign of this weeks match up. LSU is having a down year, and is a year away before they are ready to have that young talent competing down there. Mississippi State proved that they are for real last week with a big win at home vs Texas A&M. Auburn only big road test this year was against Kansas State, and KSU gifted that game to Auburn with missed field goals and turnovers and KSU still covered the spread. Take the home team and the points in this one.
Ole Miss +2.5 @ Texas A&M
This could be a trap game for Ole Miss coming off the big home upset of Alabama, but I believe they will overcome that. They proved they have the defense needed to hang with anyone in the SEC, and Texas A&M has proved that they don't have a defense and they struggle against good defenses. Ole Miss will take advantage of an aggies team that can't stop anyone and come away with a big road win.
Tulane -3 vs UConn
This isn't a play on Tulane but rather a play against UConn. UConn is bad, and now they have to travel. I just don't trust UConn on the road to lose by less than 3 points.
Georgia Tech -3 vs Duke
I first thought Duke was the play in this game, and then I noticed that they are allowing close to 200 yards rushing per game. Guess what, Georgia Tech runs the ball better than anyone in the college football. Duke did have a bye week before this game, and GT is coming off it's biggest game of the season, but that won't matter, the rambling wreck will run over the blue devils in this one.
Oklahoma -14 vs Texas
Oklahoma wants to bounce back with a statement game after lasts weeks stinker versus TCU. Lucky for them Texas has no offense close to the capabilities of TCU. Stoops doesn't lose back to back games, and he loves running up the score on Texas when he has the chance. Look for a statement from OU in this one.
Northwestern +4 @ Minnesota
Northwestern doesn't like playing easy games against non-conference foes it seems. The last few weeks against Big Ten opponents they have looked like the team expected this year. Minnesota is coming off a bye and are home, but this will be a close game, as both teams like to control the clock and have stout defenses. Look for a close low scoring affair.
West Virginia -5.5 @ Texas Tech
Texas Tech is another team that can't stop the ball. West Virginia has been up and down this year, but look for them to take advantage of the poor defense to bounce back. WVU by 7.
Notre Dame -16.5 vs North Carolina
UNC can't stop the ball, and UND has a potent offense. That's the recipe for a blow out. Notre Dame will be looking to put up big numbers on offense this week after being held to lowest point total this year against Stanford. That game shouldn't have been that close as the Irish had the yard and first down advantage.
Notre Dame/UNC over 62
Notre Dame can score a lot of points, and they won't have to play in the poor weather this week. UNC can't stop the ball at all, so look for UND to put up a lot of points and dominate this one.
Arizona +3 vs USC
Arizona could be in for a let down game after pulling the big upset on the road in Oregon last week, but I doubt that. They are home this week, and had a few extra days to prepare as they played last Thursday. USC is coming off a let down game at home where they were upset by Arizona State as a double digit favorite. Look for them to be 0-2 against teams from Arizona after this week.
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