Sunday, October 12, 2014

NFL week 6 ATS best bets

Last weeks picks went 2-1, I'll take it.  This week we have 4 games for you, and a few suggestions on teaser plays.  Little time to waste so lets get straight to the picks.

Cleveland pk vs Pittsburgh
Second meeting for these teams.  It was a tale of 2 halves in the first meeting with Pittsburgh dominating the first half and Cleveland running the 2nd.  Cleveland in coming off the biggest come from behind win in team history last week in the 2nd half on the road at Tennessee.  Cleveland needs to get it going for 60 minutes and not 30, and I think this is the week they get it together.  They play tough at home, and Pittsburgh has struggled on the road this year.  Take the home team.

Atlanta -3 vs Chicago
Atlanta wins at home and loses on the road.  Devin Hester has his best game of the season against his former coach Lovie Smith, and I think he will put forth an even bigger effort against his former team.  The Falcons have too much speed for the Bears defense.  Granted the Falcons defense hasn't been anything to write home about this year, but the offense on the turf in a dome is deadly.  Falcons win the close one.

Tampa Bay +3.5 vs Baltimore
Since week 1 Tampa Bay is the most improved team so far this season.  They play really tough grind it out football.  They dropped a heart breaker last week on the road to New Orleans, which is a really tough place to play.  Baltimore looks good but not great.  They have been running a balance offense, which has helped them this year, but they haven't faced a defense like Tampa's yet this year.  Look for the Bucs to keep it close, and maybe get the outright win.

San Diego -7 @ Oakland
What can I say, best team in the NFL taking on the worst.  Granted this is on the road, but it doesn't matter the Raiders don't have any of the type of players that the Chargers do.  The Chargers offense is so good, and so balanced this year, teams don't know where the ball is going.  They probably have the most depth at WR than they have ever had in Rivers career, and he is hitting all of his targets.  Look for the Chargers to keep the blowouts going, and win big this week.

For a few teaser options here is what I'm looking at.
6.5 point teaser
Green Bay +3.5 and Cincinnati -0.5
Taking the Packers as a -3 favorite and turning them into a 3.5 dog is great, especially since you get the hook in this one.  Cincinnati will look to bounce back at home against Carolina after a stinker on the road to New England last week.  Both teams get the win, and we get the cash

6.5 point teaser
Atlanta +3.5 and San Diego -1
2 teams we outlined above, but with a little extra security.  Now we only need an SD win, easily done, and we get the hook with the Falcons again.

Thanks for stopping by, and remember to follow me on twitter, @Dustin_Dominiak

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